5 authentication predictions for 2012 (Help Net Security)
1. BYOMD (bring your own mobile device) will spell big trouble for businesses in terms of data loss in 2012.
2. There will be a large data breach (reminiscent of the Sony online gaming breach of 2011) which will finally cause organizations across many industries to realize they cannot rely solely on passwords to protect user accounts.
3. Targeted Variations of Zeus-in-the-Mobile style attacks will grow.
4. Smart devices enable smart authentication: image-based authentication, biometrics and more.
5. Retailers and mobile payment providers will lead the adoption of new mobile authentication techniques in 2012.
More fulsome elucidation of each point at the link.